Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VAS
0 - 0
GRE
37%
29%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 3
CHA
60%
24%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CRZ
0 - 0
GRE
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
FLU
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
FLA
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 1
SCI
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
FFL
3 - 0
FLA
32%
27%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 0
JEC
70%
20%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 2
VAS
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |