Grêmio vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CAX
3 - 0
GRE
34%
26%
41%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 1
GRE
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 1
BRA
58%
20%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 0
BAH
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 1
GRE
11%
18%
71%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CAX
3 - 0
GRE
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SGA
1 - 1
CAX
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
CAX
2 - 3
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
CAX
4 - 0
SJO
87%
10%
4%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAX
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |