Grêmio vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 0
GRE
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 1
ATM
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 1
GRE
73%
16%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
3 - 3
ATP
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRE
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
CAX
3 - 2
AMF
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
AME
3 - 1
CAX
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
CAX
1 - 0
BAH
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 3
CAX
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
CAX
1 - 4
SAN
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |