Grêmio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
GRE
43%
27%
30%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 1
COT
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 1
SCI
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 0
UCO
65%
20%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ATM
3 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 2
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAL
18%
26%
56%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
BOT
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |