Grêmio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
VAS
1 - 1
GRE
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
CRZ
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
COR
0 - 2
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
GRE
4 - 1
FOR
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
60%
21%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BOT
0 - 2
FLA
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
42%
23%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ATP
0 - 5
BOT
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
BOT
4 - 0
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |