Série D Brazil Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Maringá vs Inter de Limeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
INT
0 - 1
GRE
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 1
POR
57%
26%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
GRE
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
NOV
71%
20%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 4
GRE
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
INT
0 - 1
GRE
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
INT
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
INT
0 - 0
NOV
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
INT
1 - 1
ECA
67%
21%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ECA
0 - 0
INT
20%
30%
50%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |