Maringá vs Grêmio Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+224%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2012 |
PRU
0 - 3
GRE
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
JTF
1 - 0
GRE
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 4
PAR
21%
21%
58%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
FOZ
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
GRE
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
GEM
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
GEM
0 - 2
FOZ
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
CIN
3 - 1
GEM
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
GEM
1 - 2
PAR
12%
18%
70%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
JTF
2 - 1
GEM
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |