Paranaense 1 Knock-out stages Final
Global 3-6
Grêmio Maringá vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
81.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.7%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
GEM
0 - 0
OPE
12%
19%
70%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 1
GEM
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GEM
5 - 0
CAS
16%
19%
65%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
GEM
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
COT
3 - 1
GEM
77%
15%
7%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
COT
1 - 1
ATP
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 2
COT
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
COT
3 - 0
CIA
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CIA
0 - 1
COT
11%
21%
68%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
POA
1 - 1
COT
7%
13%
80%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | -1 |