Grêmio Barueri vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ITU
0 - 4
GRÊ
22%
23%
55%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
GRÊ
0 - 4
BOT
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
GRÊ
3 - 2
RIO
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
5 - 0
GRÊ
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 3
PAU
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 2
ITU
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
63%
20%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
PAL
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 1
MON
71%
17%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |