Grêmio Barueri vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
MIR
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 2
GRÊ
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
TAU
1 - 1
GRÊ
20%
21%
59%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
SAO
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
TAB
78%
14%
7%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
ITA
85%
12%
3%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 2
FLA
9%
18%
73%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 0
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 3
FLA
20%
24%
57%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 1
GRE
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |