Gremio Anapolis vs Caldas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GOI
3 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 2
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
ANA
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
APA
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GOI
3 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Caldas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CNO
2 - 3
CRA
39%
25%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 3
CNO
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CNO
2 - 0
ITU
29%
24%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
IPO
0 - 0
CNO
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CNO
2 - 1
IPO
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |