Gremio Anapolis vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
CNO
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GOI
3 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 2
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
ANA
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
APA
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
APA
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
APA
0 - 0
ITU
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 1
APA
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
APA
2 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
APA
33%
24%
43%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |