Gremio Anapolis vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 0
GRE
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
VIL
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
ITU
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 2
GRE
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATL
13%
18%
69%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
APA
0 - 0
GOI
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 3
APA
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 0
APA
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
APA
3 - 0
ITU
44%
24%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 1
APA
39%
25%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |