Gremio Anapolis vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
CRA
3 - 1
APA
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
GIO
1 - 0
APA
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ANA
1 - 2
APA
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
APA
3 - 2
MIN
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |