Greenock Morton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1907 |
ABE
1 - 2
GRE
69%
17%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1907 |
GRE
2 - 3
CEL
20%
21%
59%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1907 |
PAR
2 - 2
GRE
68%
18%
15%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1907 |
GLA
3 - 0
GRE
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
GRE
1 - 0
CLY
53%
21%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1907 |
HOM
7 - 2
QUE
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1907 |
CLY
1 - 1
HOM
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1907 |
HOM
1 - 0
KIL
86%
9%
4%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1907 |
HOM
3 - 3
CEL
49%
23%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1907 |
HAM
5 - 1
HOM
26%
23%
51%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |