Green Gully Cavaliers vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+144%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
12º
12º
28
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
OAK
4 - 1
GRE
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 4
ALM
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
HEU
3 - 0
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 1
MNG
86%
9%
5%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HUM
2 - 0
GRE
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 2
DAN
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
OAK
2 - 0
DAN
84%
11%
6%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 3
DAN
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 2
HEU
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MNG
2 - 1
DAN
9%
14%
77%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | -1 |