Grecal vs Cascavel CR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grecal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CIN
4 - 1
GRE
72%
17%
12%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 3
PAR
10%
17%
73%
|
21 | 64 | 43 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2012 |
GEM
2 - 0
GRE
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
PRU
3 - 1
GRE
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 5
FOZ
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Cascavel CR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
CCR
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
CCR
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
CCR
6 - 0
PRU
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
FOZ
2 - 2
CCR
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
CCR
0 - 0
NPR
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |