Grasse vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
COR
0 - 0
GRA
41%
25%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 0
FUR
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GAR
2 - 1
GRA
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 0
BOR
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
NIM
1 - 1
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 1
MON
21%
25%
55%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NIC
0 - 0
COR
41%
26%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
FUR
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
GAR
30%
26%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 4
NIC
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |