Grange Quins vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grange Quins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 1
AIR
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
CWM
1 - 1
GRA
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
LLA
1 - 0
GRA
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
GRA
1 - 4
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
CAR
8 - 0
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ABE
2 - 1
CEF
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
POR
0 - 2
ABE
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
ABE
4 - 1
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
ABE
2 - 2
AIR
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
CWM
1 - 3
ABE
46%
24%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |