Grand Rapids vs AFC Ann Arbor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grand Rapids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
GRF
1 - 0
MSF
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
IND
0 - 4
GRF
6%
12%
82%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
DET
1 - 1
GRF
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
GRF
0 - 2
AAA
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
GRF
1 - 0
KAL
65%
18%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Ann Arbor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
AAA
1 - 1
RLU
59%
20%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
AAA
2 - 0
TVF
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
AAA
0 - 3
DET
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
IND
0 - 2
AAA
6%
13%
80%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | -3 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
GRF
0 - 2
AAA
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |