Granada vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
AGD
1 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 1
MAR
53%
26%
21%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 2
AGD
32%
29%
39%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
FUE
2 - 0
GRA
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
GRA
22%
28%
50%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
FUE
19%
26%
55%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BAZ
1 - 0
MAN
66%
22%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
MOT
3 - 1
MAN
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
MAR
47%
28%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CAR
3 - 0
MAN
65%
22%
13%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |