Gramshi vs Valbona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
64.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
8º
10º
9º
42
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
68% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 2 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gramshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SOP
4 - 0
GRA
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ADA
0 - 0
GRA
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
FCB
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 0
GRA
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 1
MUR
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Valbona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SOP
4 - 3
KFV
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
KFV
5 - 0
ADA
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 5
KFV
24%
20%
56%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
KFV
4 - 0
SHE
63%
18%
19%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 1
KFV
37%
22%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |