De Graafschap vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FEY
0 - 1
GRA
57%
23%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
SCH
4 - 0
GRA
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 0
PSV
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 0
GRA
73%
18%
10%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
VIT
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
UTR
3 - 2
GRO
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
UTR
3 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
UTR
1 - 0
VOL
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
VVV
1 - 2
UTR
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
LIV
0 - 0
UTR
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |