De Graafschap vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
FEY
2 - 0
GRA
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
RJC
3 - 2
GRA
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
RJC
1 - 0
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
GRA
4 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
GRA
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
4 - 3
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
BVO
1 - 2
EXC
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 1
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
FEY
1 - 0
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 0
NEC
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |