Goytre United vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
BRY
1 - 3
GOY
20%
21%
59%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ERA
1 - 3
GOY
11%
17%
73%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
GOY
1 - 1
CAM
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
GOY
1 - 1
CAL
72%
16%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
PON
1 - 1
GOY
16%
21%
63%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAR
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PON
1 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
11%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 3
ABE
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |