Gouveia vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAM
3 - 0
GOU
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
GOU
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GOU
2 - 1
SAN
15%
21%
65%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +6 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RIB
4 - 0
GOU
75%
16%
8%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
GOU
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 2
MAR
38%
25%
36%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
GAF
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 2
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 1
GAF
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 0
SAO
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |