Goldau vs Perlen-Buchrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
12º
10º
32
1º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SCE
4 - 0
GOL
56%
19%
25%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 4
LOC
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 2
GOL
69%
16%
15%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 1
ZOF
40%
22%
39%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
5 - 0
GOL
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
FCU
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BUO
4 - 1
PER
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SCE
2 - 0
PER
48%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
LOC
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 1
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |