GOES vs VVOG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GOE
1 - 3
EXC
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
GOE
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VVS
2 - 2
GOE
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
GOE
1 - 2
DOV
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GOE
1 - 2
DVS
19%
21%
59%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VVO
1 - 2
TER
29%
23%
49%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DVS
5 - 0
VVO
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VVO
2 - 1
EXC
13%
20%
68%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +4 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HOE
4 - 0
VVO
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
GVV
3 - 1
VVO
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |