GOES vs Venray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
49.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
UNA
0 - 2
GOE
78%
15%
8%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GOE
0 - 0
UDI
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NUE
3 - 0
GOE
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GOE
3 - 0
SVS
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
GOE
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
DEU
1 - 1
VEN
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
DON
4 - 2
VEN
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 2
UNA
38%
23%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UDI
1 - 2
VEN
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VEN
3 - 1
NUE
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |