GOES vs UDI '19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NUE
3 - 0
GOE
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GOE
3 - 0
SVS
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
GOE
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
GOE
2 - 1
BLA
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DEU
3 - 3
GOE
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
UDI '19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
DEU
2 - 1
UDI
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 0
UDI
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UDI
1 - 2
VEN
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UNA
3 - 0
UDI
66%
20%
15%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 5
UDI
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |