GOES vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ODI
5 - 1
GOE
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
GOE
2 - 2
ONS
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SIL
2 - 3
GOE
26%
22%
53%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
HOE
6 - 1
GOE
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
GOE
0 - 1
AJA
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 2
TER
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 4
EXC
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
DON
1 - 2
EXC
44%
24%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 3
HAR
27%
23%
51%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SPA
2 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |