Go Ahead vs Achilles '12 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+98%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
5º
12º
6º
35
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GOA
1 - 3
HUL
85%
10%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GOA
3 - 1
QUI
26%
21%
53%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 5
GOA
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DZO
0 - 3
GOA
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GOA
4 - 1
VVH
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Achilles '12
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 2
NOO
60%
20%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
EPE
0 - 1
ACH
23%
21%
57%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 3
HUL
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 2
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 0
QUI
10%
14%
77%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +5 |