Série D Brazil Final Stages Final
Global 1-5
Globo vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
SDJ
39%
26%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
FLU
42%
27%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SDJ
3 - 1
GLO
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 1
GLO
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 0
URT
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
OPE
2 - 0
ATL
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 0
OPE
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
OPE
2 - 1
MAR
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 3
OPE
21%
26%
53%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
OPE
1 - 0
ESP
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |