Série D Brazil Knock-outs Last 16
Global 2-2
Globo vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 1
GLO
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
GLO
2 - 1
ABC
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
GLO
3 - 0
ATL
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
GLO
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
GLO
2 - 1
AFO
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 1
MOT
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 2
FAS
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 1
GAL
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 2
FAS
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FAS
2 - 1
BPA
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |