Glentoran vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 2
GLE
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CLI
1 - 2
GLE
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 3
GLE
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
LIS
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
4 - 1
LIS
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 1
POR
27%
22%
51%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 1
POR
29%
25%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
LIS
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |