Glenavon vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 0
WAR
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
CLI
3 - 1
GLE
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 1
GLE
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
DOL
3 - 0
GLE
2%
5%
94%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MOY
4 - 1
POR
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
POR
0 - 2
SYL
76%
15%
8%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
DOL
2 - 4
POR
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
SYL
0 - 2
POR
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LCE
0 - 1
POR
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |