Glenavon vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
CRU
0 - 4
GLE
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
GLE
3 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
COL
2 - 0
GLE
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
BAL
2 - 0
GLE
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
GLE
3 - 3
GLE
52%
24%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
LIS
1 - 0
CLI
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
LIS
0 - 1
CRU
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIS
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
LIS
2 - 1
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIS
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |