Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
NEW
0 - 2
GLE
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
GLE
0 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
GLE
2 - 0
BAL
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
GLE
2 - 1
GLE
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
GLE
1 - 1
POR
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIS
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
GLE
1 - 2
CRU
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
CRU
0 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
NEW
2 - 0
CRU
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
CRU
1 - 1
CLI
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |