Glenavon vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
SDL
1 - 0
GLE
80%
14%
7%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1979 |
GLE
0 - 1
SDL
28%
25%
46%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
PSV
5 - 0
GLE
92%
6%
2%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
GLE
2 - 6
PSV
12%
20%
68%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1961 |
LEI
3 - 1
GLE
81%
12%
7%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
SLB
1 - 0
AGF
89%
8%
3%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
AGF
0 - 0
SLB
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
JEU
1 - 0
AGF
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
AGF
4 - 1
JEU
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
AGF
0 - 1
KSV
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |