Glacis United vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glacis United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2002 |
COC
2 - 3
GLA
1%
11%
88%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2002 |
GLA
2 - 3
LRI
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
PEG
0 - 5
GLA
1%
11%
89%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2002 |
GLA
5 - 1
GIB
92%
7%
2%
|
64 | 27 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2001 |
LRI
2 - 0
GLA
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2002 |
JOS
4 - 0
GUR
92%
6%
2%
|
68 | 15 | 53 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
JOS
1 - 1
USR
87%
10%
3%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
USR
5 - 0
JOS
9%
18%
74%
|
69 | 35 | 34 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 0
JOS
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2001 |
JOS
2 - 2
LIO
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |