Girona vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 1
MUR
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
REC
3 - 0
GIR
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CCF
1 - 0
GIR
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
GIR
3 - 2
GIM
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
GIR
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CCF
0 - 0
CEL
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
GIM
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 3
CEL
16%
26%
59%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
ESP
4 - 2
CEL
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 0
GUA
72%
20%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |