Ginásio de Alcobaça vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GDA
9 - 0
BOM
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
BEN
0 - 0
GDA
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GDA
1 - 1
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GDA
1 - 1
TOC
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
0 - 0
GDA
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
CRA
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 3
TOC
22%
23%
56%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BEN
3 - 0
CRA
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 3
PEN
19%
22%
59%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 0
CRA
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |