Ginásio de Alcobaça vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
69.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
GDA
79%
16%
6%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GDR
3 - 1
GDA
80%
13%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GDA
0 - 3
ANG
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
GDA
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GDA
0 - 2
TOR
17%
24%
59%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
PRA
25%
24%
50%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 1
GDR
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 3
ALC
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 2
FEI
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |