Gillingham vs Peterborough United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
67.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GIL
1 - 0
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 0
GIL
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
GIL
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
SWA
3 - 1
GIL
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GIL
4 - 1
CUM
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
POS
0 - 2
WRE
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EXE
1 - 2
POS
22%
24%
55%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STF
1 - 4
POS
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
OXF
2 - 0
POS
37%
23%
40%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
POS
0 - 2
HUR
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |