Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
GIL
0 - 2
LUT
9%
16%
75%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
GIL
0 - 0
REA
12%
18%
69%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
DOV
0 - 1
GIL
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
POR
0 - 1
GIL
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
GIL
1 - 1
SWI
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
SUT
2 - 0
AFC
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
WAT
1 - 1
AFC
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
ENF
2 - 4
AFC
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
AFC
2 - 2
PAF
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 0
WAL
43%
25%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |