Gharghur vs Birzebbuga St. Peters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gharghur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MGA
2 - 0
GHA
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
GHA
1 - 1
ZUR
81%
14%
6%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ZEJ
2 - 4
GHA
21%
24%
56%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
GHA
4 - 1
SIR
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GHA
3 - 1
MSI
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Birzebbuga St. Peters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BIR
5 - 1
MSI
88%
9%
4%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
KIR
3 - 3
BIR
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BIR
0 - 1
SIG
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -3 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
QFC
2 - 0
BIR
62%
21%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
BIR
3 - 0
MEL
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |