Düren vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis

Düren Fortuna Düsseldorf II
40 ELO 38
6.6% Tilt 4.7%
3571º General ELO ranking 3604º
153º Country ELO ranking 155º
ELO win probability
58.1%
Düren
19.9%
Draw
22.1%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
Düren
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
22.1%
Win probability
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Düren
-42%
+29%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II

Points and table prediction

Düren
Their league position
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
16º
10º
40
10º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Preußen Münster
76
79
100%
B. Mönchengladbach II
65
66
74.5%
Wuppertaler SV
63
64
74.5%
Rödinghausen
58
58
100%
Fortuna Köln
54
55
60.5%
Alemannia Aachen
53
54
37%
Kaan-Marienborn
52
53
28%
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
50
51
42%
Schalke 04 II
48
49
90%
Düren
11º
45
48
10º
72.5%
Lippstadt 08
10º
46
46
11º
72.5%
Wiedenbrück
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Köln II
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
14º
40
40
14º
100%
FC Bocholt
15º
36
37
15º
100%
Rot Weiss Ahlen
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Wattenscheid 09
17º
22
22
17º
100%
SV Straelen
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Düren
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Düren
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Düren
Düren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2022
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
3 - 2
Düren
DUR
62%
22%
16%
41 50 9 0
30 Sep. 2022
ROT
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
4 - 0
Düren
DUR
65%
20%
15%
42 49 7 -1
17 Sep. 2022
DUR
Düren
3 - 0
Kaan-Marienborn
KMA
38%
25%
38%
40 44 4 +2
11 Sep. 2022
S04
Schalke 04 II
4 - 1
Düren
DUR
58%
22%
20%
41 45 4 -1
03 Sep. 2022
DUR
Düren
0 - 2
Rödinghausen
ROD
23%
24%
53%
42 52 10 -1

Matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2022
FOR
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
0 - 2
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
ROT
21%
22%
57%
38 49 11 0
01 Oct. 2022
KMA
Kaan-Marienborn
1 - 3
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
FOR
58%
22%
20%
36 42 6 +2
17 Sep. 2022
FOR
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
2 - 4
Schalke 04 II
S04
30%
24%
46%
37 46 9 -1
10 Sep. 2022
ROD
Rödinghausen
4 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
FOR
74%
17%
9%
38 53 15 -1
03 Sep. 2022
FOR
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
3 - 1
Lippstadt 08
LIP
34%
25%
41%
36 43 7 +2