Getafe vs Villarreal analysis


86	ELO	88
-13.9%	Tilt	-7.1%
72º	General ELO ranking	26º
14º	Country ELO ranking	6º
ELO win probability

38.6%

Getafe

27.9%

Draw

33.5%

Villarreal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

38.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%

27.9%

Draw

0-0

9.5%

1-1

13.1%

2-2

4.6%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.9%

33.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-6%

+3%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Getafe

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
09 Apr. 2015	ELC 0 - 1 GET 35% 27% 38%	86	82	4
05 Apr. 2015	GET 2 - 1 DEP 59% 24% 17%	86	80	6
21 Mar. 2015	ATM 2 - 0 GET 74% 17% 9%	86	93	7
16 Mar. 2015	GET 0 - 1 RSO 46% 27% 28%	86	85	1
09 Mar. 2015	CCF 1 - 2 GET 27% 27% 47%	86	77	9

Matches

Villarreal

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
09 Apr. 2015	VIL 0 - 3 ESP 67% 20% 13%	88	84	4	0
05 Apr. 2015	VCF 0 - 0 VIL 67% 19% 13%	88	91	3	0
22 Mar. 2015	VIL 0 - 2 SEV 42% 24% 34%	88	89	1	0
19 Mar. 2015	SEV 2 - 1 VIL 54% 24% 22%	89	90	1	-1
15 Mar. 2015	ALM 0 - 0 VIL 26% 26% 47%	89	82	7	0