SD Gernika vs Pontevedra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
44.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
GER
39%
29%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
CEL
44%
30%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ALA
2 - 1
GER
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
ATH
29%
30%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ZAM
2 - 2
GER
62%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pontevedra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
CAU
2 - 1
PON
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PON
1 - 0
AUR
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 0
PON
29%
27%
43%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
PON
4 - 0
ALA
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 0
PON
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |