Gênus vs Vilhena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-177%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 2
GEN
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 0
ARI
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 1
MOT
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
GEN
4 - 2
ROL
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +3 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
GEN
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
ROL
60%
21%
20%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
ESP
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
ARI
0 - 2
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 0
MOT
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
GEN
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |